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Recommended posts: Manufacturing Jobs Data: USA and China - Global Manufacturing Data by Country - China's Manufacturing Economy
Related: Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog
Chinese firms bargain hunting in U.S.
Liu spent about $500,000 for seven acres in Spartanburg — less than one-fourth what it would cost to buy the same amount of land in Dongguan, a city in southeast China where he runs three plants. U.S. electricity rates are about 75% lower, and in South Carolina, Liu doesn’t have to put up with frequent blackouts.
About the only major thing that’s more expensive in Spartanburg is labor. Liu is looking to offer $12 to $13 an hour there, versus about $2 an hour in Dongguan, not including room and board. But Liu expects to offset some of the higher labor costs with a payroll tax credit of $1,500 per employee from South Carolina.
“I was surprised,” said the 63-year-old president of Shanxi Yuncheng Plate-Making Group. “The gap’s not as large as I thought.” Liu is part of a growing wave of Chinese entrepreneurs expanding into the U.S. From Spartanburg to Los Angeles they are building factories, buying companies and investing in business and real estate.
True this is still a relatively small macro economic factor. However, it is growing. The primary push so far is economic - not a move to lean manufacturing (as far, as I can tell) to put manufacturing close to the customer. What is the biggest factor? The USA is spending more than $400 billion every year more than it produces. The only way to consume more than you produce is to borrow (and take an obligation to pay back those that lend you money) or sell the stuff you own to those that are producing more than they are consuming. China is producing more than $200 billion more than it consumes every year.
For decades foreigners have taken debt from Americans that promise to pay back later (to pay for what they consumed). Now many are deciding that these debts are not attractive investments and are looking to own productive assets in the USA (companies, factories…). Which is smart on there part in my opinion.
Related: The Budget Deficit, the Current Account Deficit and the Saving Deficit - Moving Jobs to Silicon Valley from India - $2,540,000,000,000 in USA Consumer Debt - How to Keep the USA Manufacturing - Top 10 Manufacturing Countries 2006
Warren Buffett’s 2004 Annual Report:
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Here is updated data from the UN on manufacturing output by country. China continues to grow amazingly moving into second place for 2006. I plan to write more on this data in the Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog. UN Data, in billions of current US dollars:
| Country | 1990 | 2000 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1,040 | 1,543 | 1,545 | 1,629 | 1,725 |
| China | 143 | 484 | 788 | 939 | 1096 |
| Japan | 808 | 1,033 | 962 | 954 | 929 |
| Germany | 437 | 392 | 559 | 584 | 620 |
| Italy | 240 | 206 | 295 | 291 | 313 |
| United Kingdom | 207 | 230 | 283 | 283 | 308 |
| France | 223 | 190 | 256 | 253 | 275 |
| Brazil | 117 | 120 | 130 | 172 | 231 |
| Korea | 65 | 134 | 173 | 199 | 216 |
| Canada | 92 | 129 | 165 | 188 | 213 |
| Additional countries of interest - not the next largest | |||||
| Mexico | 50 | 107 | 111 | 122 | 136 |
| India | 50 | 67 | 100 | 118 | 130 |
| Indonesia | 29 | 46 | 72 | 79 | 103 |
| Turkey | 33 | 38 | 75 | 92 | 100 |
Gopal Srinivasan is Director of TVS Electronics Limited, Joint Managing Director of Sundaram-Clayton Limited and Director of various other TVS Group companies. TVS group companies, based in India, have been awarded 5 Deming Prizes. He discusses Deming and quality a bit. He also discusses their experiences in manufacturing in China and the strengths they have found in each country. And he discusses the Indian economy and manufacturing.
In the second part of the podcast he talks about the growth of the economy of Tamil Nadu and the inclusive approach required to help India grow. via Gopal Srinivasan of TVS Group of Companies on Entrepreneurship
Related: Hopeful About India’s Manufacturing Sector - Toyota Chairman Comments on India and Thailand - Indian Deming Prize Winner Expanding - 2005 Deming Prize Awardees - 2004 Deming Prize
The newest data from the UN confirms most of the recent trends in manufacturing output - most notably that China continues to grow dramatically. The data also shows a stagnation in USA manufacturing output over the last several years, though the USA remains by far the largest manufacturer. The most significant news from this latest data, I believe, is that that manufacturing output growth in the USA has been slower than global manufacturing output growth from 2002-2005. This was not the case prior to 2002. I will be writing more on this data in the Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog. UN Data, in billions of current US dollars:
| Country | 1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1,040 | 1,289 | 1,543 | 1,460 | 1,471 | 1,488 | 1,545 | 1,493 |
| Japan | 809 | 1,217 | 1,033 | 857 | 807 | 886 | 962 | 964 |
| China | 143 | 299 | 484 | 527 | 573 | 664 | 788 | 895 |
| Germany | 437 | 517 | 392 | 389 | 407 | 490 | 566 | 594 |
| United Kingdom | 207 | 221 | 230 | 218 | 222 | 239 | 283 | no data |
| Italy | 240 | 226 | 206 | 205 | 218 | 259 | 295 | 291 |
| France | 200 | 233 | 190 | 185 | 192 | 228 | 256 | 253 |
| Korea | 200 | 233 | 190 | 185 | 192 | 228 | 256 | 253 |
| Canada | 92 | 100 | 129 | 119 | 120 | 149 | 170 | 196 |
| Brazil | 117 | 149 | 120 | 102 | 95 | 109 | 130 | 171 |
| Spain | 108 | 107 | 98 | 100 | 108 | 134 | 153 | 160 |
| Mexico | 50 | 55 | 107 | 110 | 111 | 104 | 111 | 122 |
| Russia | 201 | 104 | 73 | 77 | 54 | 64 | 92 | 117 |
| India | 50 | 60 | 67 | 68 | 72 | 84 | 100 | 116 |
The Economist explores the trend to manufacture in Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia… instead of China in: The problem with Made in China:
It is nice to see this reported properly. The USA manufacturing share of global output has risen, not fallen, as we have stated numerous times: Manufacturing Value Added Economic Data - Manufacturing Jobs Data: USA and China - Global Manufacturing Data by Country. The most fundamental facts of global manufacturing - Global output is increasing. Jobs are decreasing (everywhere, not moving from one place to another - decreasing everywhere). China’s output is growing rapidly. The USA is still by far the largest manufacturer, USA output is growing faster than global output and much slower than China’s output. Japan is the second largest manufacturer with China third, by a fairly large margin though China is growing very rapidly.
Related: Manufacturing Jobs - China’s Manufacturing Economy - America’s Manufacturing Future
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From the Lean blog another valuable podcast: Lean in China with Jim Womack. He is not impressed with the state of lean in China yet. Lean Enterprise China has been established to aid the adoption of the best management practices in China.
Related: China’s Lean Journey - Manufacturing Jobs Data: USA and China - Toyota in China: Full Speed Ahead - Global Manufacturing Data by Country
China’s Lean Journey by Dennis J. Stamm:
Related: China’s Manufacturing Economy - Manufacturing Jobs Data: USA and China - Engineering Education: China, India and the USA
Outsourcing bubble getting Busted: What should India do? - commenting on the 2006 Global IT Outsourcing Study
Essentially the study says the outsourcing IT will continue to grow though more slowly than it has. It also states the benefits of outsourcing have not reached the level that was predicted for a number of reasons. The study predicts vastly increased competition from China for IT outsourcing work (which reinforces the general consensus).
Brad Setser posts on manufacturing comparisons: Have China’s manufacturing powers been exaggerated?
But I would submit that the real story here is the growth in China’s conventional wisdom to improve our understanding of the real situation. I agree with him that the growth in China’s manufacturing sector is the most important story.
But, to me, that story is so over-reported that many get the wrong impression. (more…)
Manufacturing Productivity and the Shifting US, China, and Global Job Scenes-1990 to 2005 (working paper - July 2005) by William Ward, Clemson University:
In this paper he is examines the factors leading to a reduction in manufacturing job worldwide. He concludes that job losses are mainly due to increased manufacturing productivity (worldwide, manufacturing productivity is increasing and jobs are decreasing - including China). (more…)
Toyota in China: Full Speed Ahead, Business Week. Yoshimi Inaba, who’s driving the Japanese auto maker’s expansion in the Middle Kingdom, discusses the Chinese market and his goals there. Toyota’s market share is just 3.5% in China, compared to 13% in the U.S. and more than 40% at home in Japan.
K&S makes first shipment to China by Buzz Ball
It is because of these principles that Schwartz was able to make the announcement about the shipment to China.
“We took the order to construct 111,000 wire frames that will hold flip-flops,” said Schwartz. “Because of our ‘lean’ principles, our price was better than could be found in China. This is a first for us and I hope we will have many more in the future.”
La-Z-Boy changing production lines to compete with China:
“Basically, we will have teams building the chairs from start to finish,” said La-Z-Boy Midwest Human Relations Manager Billy Meyer. “Right now, we have three cells up and running, but by the end of the transition, we will have 37 cells.”
Great news. It is good when companies take the improvement strategy to cope with changes in the marketplace.
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I am still looking for a good source for manufacturing data by country and year. Today I found some data from the United Nations Statistics Division. The data for the top five manufacturing economies: China, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom and United States. Figures are in current $US billion. The data used is for Mining, Manufacturing and Utilities (because China and Germany do not have manufacturing data separated out).
| Country | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 1,781 | 1,779 | 1,876 | 2,012 |
| Japan | 991 | 929 | 1017 | |
| China | 507 | 551 | 638 | 754 |
| Germany | 421 | 449 | 545 | 613 |
| United Kingdom | 280 | 283 | 322 | 378 |
For manufacturing output only:
| Country | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 1,460 | 1,463 | 1,523 | 1,623 |
| Japan | 866 | 812 | 894 | |
| United Kingdom | 220 | 223 | 254 | 298 |
This data shows the United States manufacturing economy is continuing to grow and is solidly the largest manufacturing economy: which contradicts what many believe. It is true manufacturing jobs are decreasing in the United States and worldwide - China is losing far more manufacturing jobs than the USA.
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China’s Economy Grew 9.9% in 2005, Overtaking France
Gross domestic product rose to 18.2 trillion yuan ($2.3 trillion) after expanding 10.1 percent in 2004, statistics bureau commissioner Li Deshui said today in Beijing. Investment in urban areas jumped 27.2 percent last year, he said.
2003 data, from Geohive (their source the World Bank):
| United States: | $10.9 trillion |
| Japan: | $4.3 trillion |
| Germany: | $2.4 trillion |
| United Kingdom: | $1.8 trillion |
| France: | $1.7 trillion |
| Italy: | $1.5 trillion |
| China: | $1.4 trillion |
| Spain: | $.8 trillion |
| Canada: | $.8 trillion |
| Mexico: | $.6 trillion |
| South Korea: | $.6 trillion |
| India: | $.6 trillion |
Related posts:
A Wake-up Call From Asia by Patricia Panchak:
From my previous post, Relative Engineering Economic Positions:
The challenges to USA manufacturing will continue. The best hope, as I see it, for retaining manufacturing leadership in the USA is through increasing the adoption of management improvement methods including lean manufacturing.
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I just added a post, USA Under-counting Engineering Graduates, to our Curious Cat Science and Engineering Blog on a new report from Duke concerning data on engineering degrees from China, India and the USA: Framing the Engineering Outsourcing Debate. I think it is a great report. If you have any interest in this topic I strongly recommend it.
Related posts:
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