Curious Cat Management Improvement Blog: Deming, lean thinking, innovation, customer focus, continual improvement, six sigma.
December 11, 2006
10 Stocks for 10 Years Update

In April of 2005 I wrote: 10 stocks for 10 years. At that time I also created a fund through Marketocracy. Thus far the portfolio is up 15.8% annually (versus 15.3% for the S&P 500) - see more below…

I have made minor changes to the fund during the year (less than 4% turnover). As I mentioned in June I would buy Tesco, but Marketocracy does not support it. Google is still doing quite well, up 122% since inception. The second largest gain is for Petro China, up 106% and Toyota is up 67%. Dell is the worst performer down 25% followed by Yahoo down 16%. I am comfortable with the original 10 stocks and don’t have any significant changes I would make to the portfolio now. For the small change I would make now see more…

Marketocracy automatically reduces the fund return by 2% to simulate a management fee and “charges” fees on trades. The 10 stocks portfolio didn’t meet the diversification requirements for marketocracy, at the time, so I modified the portfolio a bit when I setup the fund, adding a few more stocks. For a list of stocks see the Jan 2006 update.

View the results for the fund on Marketocracy.

I am a bit less optimistic about the 3 largest gainers, at this price, than I was at the price in April, 2005 but still like the stocks at these prices. I would consider buying more Dell but have not done so yet, I did add to Yahoo recently and would add it and Tesco to a list I would select today. First Data split into two stocks and I would not include it in a selection today (I have not sold it in the marketocracy portfolio and don’t see any need to but may sell one or both going forward). Today I would select 11 stocks for 10 years (seeking companies with a history of large positive cash flow that seemed likely to continue that trend):

  • Templeton Dragon Fund (TDF -12%)
  • Google (GOOG - 12%)
  • Dell (DELL - 10%)
  • Toyota (TM - 10%)
  • Tesco (DELL - 10%)
  • Pfizer (PFE - 8%)
  • Amazon (AMZN - 8%)
  • Intel (INTC - 8%)
  • Petro China (PTR - 8%)
  • Cisco (CSCO - 8%)
  • Yahoo (YHOO - 6%)

These are obviously mainly large companies. A balanced portfolio would include other investments this is just a list of some stocks that seem to me to be good long term investments that as a group are likely to do well over the next decade.

Related: Curious Cat Investment Books - Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog - Curious Cat Investment Dictionary

One Response to “10 Stocks for 10 Years Update”

  1. Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog » Why Investing is Safer Overseas Says:

    I have long advocated the benefits of international investing. And looking forward the potential for economic development (and investment gains) outside the USA are strong…

Leave a Reply



Curious Cat Management Improvement Blog © curiouscat.com 2005-2009 powered by WordPress

Internal Links

Author

John Hunter

Tags


Full tag could

Other

Search Blog

Web Search

Management Improvement web search

Recent Comments

  • Jaky Astik: Where there are no problems there is no leadership, because then, no one cares.
  • Tim McMahon: Your post and Shaun’s comments are quite right. I think the there is an evoluation in thinking as...
  • Richard Kunkle, MD: Great blog. What is intriguing here is that we as physicians have focused here on the needs of...
  • Josh: When I buy a car, I want to be able to drive the car to work/home which is about a 20 minute commute each way...
  • Alex: Wow, Google has done it again. This is truly going to change the dynamics of communication as we know it today....
  • Anonymous: We should all be grateful that Toyota is helping out the US economy. My cousin landed a job with Toyota...
  • Oscar: That’s pretty cool from one side but 4 hours to refill the tank is too much time i think. I’d...
  • shaun sayers: This is quite a significant issue Jon, and there is a fine balance to be found On the one hand I...

Archives

December 2006
M T W T F S S
« Nov   Jan »
 123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031