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	<title>Comments on: Does the Data Deluge Make the Scientific Method Obsolete?</title>
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	<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/</link>
	<description>Management Improvement focused on Deming, lean thinking, innovation, customer focus, six sigma, etc.</description>
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		<title>By: Curious Cat Management Improvement Blog &#187; Bogus Theories, Bad for Business</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-34085</link>
		<dc:creator>Curious Cat Management Improvement Blog &#187; Bogus Theories, Bad for Business</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2009 16:07:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-34085</guid>
		<description>explores why people often believe what is not so. And management seems to have a surplus of beliefs that are not based on sound theories...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>explores why people often believe what is not so. And management seems to have a surplus of beliefs that are not based on sound theories&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Curious Cat Management Blog &#187; Friday Fun: Correlation</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-33482</link>
		<dc:creator>Curious Cat Management Blog &#187; Friday Fun: Correlation</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 14:58:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-33482</guid>
		<description>&quot;I used to think correlation implied causation.&quot; Now...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I used to think correlation implied causation.&#8221; Now&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Curious Cat Science Blog &#187; Large Quantities of Information Change Everything</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-33120</link>
		<dc:creator>Curious Cat Science Blog &#187; Large Quantities of Information Change Everything</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2008 18:30:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-33120</guid>
		<description>&quot;When we look at large quantities of information, what we’re really doing is searching for patterns. And being the kind of creatures that we are, and given the nature of the laws of probability, we are going to find patterns...&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;When we look at large quantities of information, what we’re really doing is searching for patterns. And being the kind of creatures that we are, and given the nature of the laws of probability, we are going to find patterns&#8230;&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Curious Cat Science Blog &#187; Google Flu Leading Indicator</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-33006</link>
		<dc:creator>Curious Cat Science Blog &#187; Google Flu Leading Indicator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 12:39:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-33006</guid>
		<description>This is an interesting example of finding new ways to quickly access what is happening in the world...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an interesting example of finding new ways to quickly access what is happening in the world&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Alan</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-32794</link>
		<dc:creator>Alan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Sep 2008 17:11:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-32794</guid>
		<description>If data alone were sufficient, then our financial markets would not be crashing right now. If you don&#039;t have an explicit model, then the data you decide to collect is your implicit model. There are no guarantees of sufficiency, nor of predictability in the collected data.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If data alone were sufficient, then our financial markets would not be crashing right now. If you don&#8217;t have an explicit model, then the data you decide to collect is your implicit model. There are no guarantees of sufficiency, nor of predictability in the collected data.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2008/09/29/does-the-data-deluge-make-the-scientific-method-obsolete/comment-page-1/#comment-32792</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Sep 2008 14:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://management.curiouscatblog.net/?p=1107#comment-32792</guid>
		<description>I have been asking myself this same question for several years. I am of the opinion that the data deluge will not supplant the scientific method. I have three reasons for this.

First, increased computing power does not mean that you can accurately model all events; you can just look at a larger subset of the possible data. For instance, we still could not use Google&#039;s computing power to model chemical reactions from quantum physics. What we can do is use the greater processing and data retrieval capabilities to look for low-probability discrepancies between data and theory.

Second, the scientific method is more than just a data-analysis method. It is a way of carefully answering questions with the right data. Simply having more data does not make for better answers. Indeed, more data, while having the potential to provide better estimates, also offers the potential to lead researchers off into the weeds.

Lastly, theory is a means to predict future events. More generally, science is tool to improve understanding. Simply being able to model past events given some data set does not provide greater understanding. This is, of course, part of the contention: if our data set is big enough, what need do we have of understanding? My experience is that theory leads to new questions, which in turn lead to a deeper and more accurate understanding. More data can provide better models, but not deeper understanding, and generally does not lead to new questions. It&#039;s the unexpected--the differences between expectations driven by theory and models derived from data--that lead to advances in knowledge.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have been asking myself this same question for several years. I am of the opinion that the data deluge will not supplant the scientific method. I have three reasons for this.</p>
<p>First, increased computing power does not mean that you can accurately model all events; you can just look at a larger subset of the possible data. For instance, we still could not use Google&#8217;s computing power to model chemical reactions from quantum physics. What we can do is use the greater processing and data retrieval capabilities to look for low-probability discrepancies between data and theory.</p>
<p>Second, the scientific method is more than just a data-analysis method. It is a way of carefully answering questions with the right data. Simply having more data does not make for better answers. Indeed, more data, while having the potential to provide better estimates, also offers the potential to lead researchers off into the weeds.</p>
<p>Lastly, theory is a means to predict future events. More generally, science is tool to improve understanding. Simply being able to model past events given some data set does not provide greater understanding. This is, of course, part of the contention: if our data set is big enough, what need do we have of understanding? My experience is that theory leads to new questions, which in turn lead to a deeper and more accurate understanding. More data can provide better models, but not deeper understanding, and generally does not lead to new questions. It&#8217;s the unexpected&#8211;the differences between expectations driven by theory and models derived from data&#8211;that lead to advances in knowledge.</p>
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